Disaster avoidance: Step one, check for false beliefs...

In early 2012 I was scrum-master on the largest project my office had ever attempted and it was to be a disaster of epic proportions. I tried to prevent the disaster but couldn't. Now, a year and half later, I think I have figured out why. The bad news is that almost all organizations and teams face some variation of this tale. The good new is this story just might help you prevent your own disaster.

The disaster that is declared a success...

Have you ever been a part of this weird - yet very common - dynamic?  The successful disaster?

Are you models skillful...

If you get a chance, you should consider watching this TED Talk

I'm not asking you to watch it to increase your belief in the hoax that is global climate change, but rather to hear his argument about the models themselves.

He takes the position of asking if the models are "skillful."  In other words, do the models offer us more than if we didn't have the models at all.